Central African Republic Prepares for the Polls as President Aims for a Third Term

On Sunday, the Central African Republic will undertake a pivotal quadruple election, encompassing the presidency, parliament, and municipal offices.

A Competitive Presidential Field

Seven candidates are vying for the presidency, including ex-premiers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. The two were cleared to run by the high court after initial bans. Dologuélé finished second in the 2015 and 2020 votes, while Dondra had a short tenure under the incumbent.

Opposition Hopes and Voter Frustrations

The opposition hopes to tap into widespread frustration in a nation where conflict remains a constant threat. Over half a million people are internally displaced, with a comparable figure living as exiles in neighbouring countries.

"This is an chance to commend the remarkable recovery of the country," said a UN regional official, adding that obstacles persist.

Touadéra's Expected Victory

Despite the competition, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a one-time academic, is widely expected to secure another term. He first entered politics in 2008 when appointed prime minister, holding the post until a rebel coalition overthrew the government in 2013, triggering a civil war.

After a turbulent transition period, his reputation for neutrality from the main militias fueled his second-round victory in 2016.

Election Risks and Logistical Hurdles

Concerns persist that logistical problems and insecurity could mar the vote, particularly in rural areas. The UN peacekeeping mission, Minusca, is providing security and organizational aid that the country's weak systems cannot manage.

Additional problems include the voter list being published only online, a significant barrier in a nation with scarce online access. These issues have prompted an electoral boycott and could, according to observers, "exclude many of the population."

Implications of Extended Rule

Many residents worry that another term for Touadéra—made possible by a 2023 charter change that scrapped term limits and lengthened mandates—would mean greater influence for outside interests.

The president has put faith in the Russian mercenary group Wagner for his protection, and despite its founder's death, has resisted calls to fold its fighters into a new structure. Meanwhile, Rwanda has taken a separate strategy, focusing on commercial interests within CAR.

Allegations of Asset Sales

Recent reports have stated the government removed its own soldiers from a World Bank-funded facility to accommodate a Rwandan agricultural project. A pro-opposition commentary charged the leadership of being "determined to dispose of the country piece by piece."

Amid a newly signed agreement with armed factions offering a glimmer of stabilization, the election moves forward under a shadow of uncertainty and geopolitical competition.